2019 CFB Focus Preseason Rankings 1-10

1 ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE

OFFENSE: PRO MULTIPLE 2-BACK

Part of me wonders just how much things will change without Josh Gattis running the offense. Despite Nick Saban being mostly old school, his offense was one of the more modern in the SEC.  It looked like an NFL offense, with its Pro Multiple 2-Back sets, but Gattis got creative and ran a lot of unconventional things out of it. 

That’s easy to do when you have a QB as good at Tua Tagovailoa, who battled injuries much of last season yet still was in the top 3 of QBR, the best barometer of quarterback efficiency. Fully healthy, Tua should be laughing at how ridiculous his cadre of receivers is – Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs Jr., DeVonta Smith, Jaylen Waddle. All are game-breakers, and all are nearly impossible to check in single coverage. As a group they put pressure on a secondary like few units can. Irv Smith Jr is a big loss at TE, but the Tide will use that position as more of a blocker and underneath receiver this year as no one on the roster can stretch a defense the way Smith could.

The ground game may not be used quite as much in 2019 as both Josh Jacobs and Damien Harris left for the NFL. That means it is finally time for five-star recruit Najee Harris to have his turn, and he is your prototype Bama back – powerful, decisive, shiftier than you expect. He will be the bellcow, but uber-frosh Trey Sanders will also show his ability. 

The offensive line was boffo last year, allowing just 15 sacks, its lowest total since allowing 16 in 2014. There is some rebuilding to do, but the tackles are holdovers in Alex Leatherwood (who slides outside from RG, where he started 15 games last year) and Jedrick Willis. Super freshman Evan Neal has a chance to start at one guard spot, though needs to bring his weight (360) down just a tad.

Steve Sarkisian is the man running the Tide offense this year, and we’ve seen some of what he has done previously during his somewhat disastrous head coaching stint at Washington. He likes physical play but isn’t afraid to take shots downfield. The bigger loss could be QB coach Dan Enos, who left to take over the same role and OC duties at Miami for Manny Diaz.

DEFENSE: 3-4

Alabama will once again be aggressive, though this year it won’t have Quinnen Williams, the most disruptive force in college football last season. Raekwon Davis should be next man up, and he’ll have a real shot at improving on his 1.5 sacks from 2018. Quick off the ball and a master of understanding leverage, Davis is in line for a big season. LaBryan Ray will also garner some spotlight after a 39-tackle campaign in which he was a rotational player.

Linebacker should be a strength for this unit, as All-America candidate Dylan Moses is ready to bust out – if he didn’t after 86 stops and 6.5 TFL in 2018. Anfernee Jennings has always teased greatness but never quite delivered – maybe this is the year.  

The secondary is loaded, with Trevon Diggs as steady as they come and Patrick Surtain Jr ready to make the leap to stardom as a sticky cover guy. Xavier McKinney has NFL talent at safety and great range (10 PBU,2 INT), and is the leader of the back end.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: LB Joshua McMillon is rangy and has good instincts, and an ability to navigate traffic. Don’t be shocked if he is near the top of the tackles chart this season.

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: RB Trey Sanders, NG DJ Dale, OL Evan Neal, S Scooby Carter

TOUGHEST GAMES: at Texas A&M (O 12); LSU (N 9); at Mississippi State (N 16); at Auburn (N 30)

FUN NUMBERS: With an emphasis on passing, the Tide air attack took off, ranking first nationally in passes per game of 20-plus yards (5.5).

OVERVIEW: An animal is most dangerous when it’s wounded, and the Tide took quite a barrage of shrapnel in last year’s CFP title game. Thoroughly outplayed, Alabama went back the drawing board – literally. Saban brought in eight new coaches and did many of the same things he’s done in seasons that didn’t end with championship rings. This team is most dangerous when it ISN’T atop the mountain, so woe is anyone that gets in its way. There are two locks for the playoff this year, and Alabama is one of them.

2 CLEMSON TIGERS

OFFENSE: SPREAD

What can the Tigers do for an encore? How about win it again?

As long as Trevor Lawrence is around that will be possible, as the kid had a historic freshman season with 30 touchdowns to just four interceptions, completing 65 percent of his passes. The amazing thing is that he seemed to look better and better by the week, whereas most freshmen have hiccups along the way. Lawrence has a big-time arm, can make timing throws and does a solid job of reading defenses. Lawrence had 27 big-time throws to just five turnover worthy throws in 2018, according to Pro Football Focus. Lawrence is certainly one of the frontrunners, for the Heisman, and with a receiving corps that is maturing right along with him he could put up numbers we haven’t seen before.

Tee Higgins (59 catches, 12 TD, 15.9 YPC) and Justyn Ross (46 catches, 21.7 YPC, 9 TD) form one of the most lethal receiver combos in America, and when you add in premier freshmen Frank Ladson and Joseph Ngata you’ll see that Lawrence won’t be lacking for targets. Amari Rodgers (55 catches, 4 TD) will also be in the mix once recovered from an injury suffered in spring ball. 

Travis Etienne is, for my money, the best back in America as he can beat you with speed, power and elusiveness. Etienne averaged 8.3 YPC, picked up nearly half of his yardage after contact and forced 56 missed tackles. A lot of people think he’s just a speed back, but he can make people miss in open space. His only liability is in the pass game (12 catches), and we aren’t sure if it’s because Clemson doesn’t use its backs or if it’s a weakness in Etienne’s game.

The line returns mainly intact, with C Sean Pollard, LG John Simpson and RT Tremayne Anchrum all worthy of all-league mention.

DEFENSE: 4-3

It doesn’t take a genius to realize that 2018 Clemson defense was an all-time group. The Tigers were first in rushing defense, first in YPC, first in Points Per Play, second in Negative Plays percentage and in overall YPP. The returning production numbers say that just a bit over half is back, but many of this year’s starters were on the field last year, as that’s how DC Brent Venables likes to groom newcomers. 

A case in point is DE Xavier Thomas, who had 43 stops and 10.5 TFL in a reserve role. He was at times on the field with the starters and understands the expectations and the culture of the defense. He should rise to stardom this season. Xavier Kelly and Nyles Pinckney each received playing time last season, and Justin Foster had 6 TFL despite playing less than 50 percent of the team’s defensive snaps. This group won’t be quite as good as last year’s quartet but won’t drop off as much as people think.

Isaiah Simmons fits Venables hybrid LB/safety role perfectly, and he was all over the field in 2018, amassing 97 tackles, 9.5 TFL and 7 PBU. He’s fast and angry and adept at finding the ballcarrier. 

The secondary is also talented, with holdovers AJ Terrell (7 PBU, 3 INT) at corner and K’Von Wallace (7 PBU) and Tanner Muse (76 tackles, 5 PBU, 2 INT) manning the deep middle from their safety spots. Derion Kendrick moved to cornerback from receiver during the spring and appeared to do well. Freshman Andrew Booth will be tough to keep out of the rotation and could find himself in nickel situations to start out before getting more playing time.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: DT Nyles Pinckney takes up space and is difficult to move, but he has the quickness to shoot the gaps and get into the backfield. Much like Lawrence before him, Pinckey should take a major step forward as a sophomore

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: CB Andrew Booth, WR Frank Ladson, WR Joseph Ngata, DT Tyler Davis

TOUGHEST GAMES: Texas A&M (S 7); at Syracuse (S 14); at NC State (N 9)

FUN NUMBERS: Clemson is working on a streak of 10 straight 20-plus point wins, the second longest streak in the AP poll era (1936).

OVERVIEW: The Tigers were so loaded last year that people have a hard time understanding just how good they were. This was an all-time team, people, on a collision course with destiny. And when it came knocking, Clemson kicked in the door. It would be natural to expect a small step back defensively, but the offense should be the most lethal in all of college football. Fans may not want to hear it, but it’s time to get ready for Alabama/Clemson III (or IV, if you count non-championship games).

3 TEXAS LONGHORNS

OFFENSE: SPREAD

Sam Ehlinger has waited for his moment to shine, and 2019 could be it.

The junior is the top returning quarterback in the Big 12 and one of the best in America in a variety of categories – a clean passer rating of 113.5, tops among all returning QBs, and a TD-INT ratio of 25-5 is elite. Ehlinger doesn’t put his team in bad situations with poor decisions, making just seven turnover worthy throws all season, according to Pro Football Focus. He is also a standout runner, amassing 482 yards and 16 TDs. He is seventh among returning QBs in forced missed tackles rushing, and given the youth in the Longhorns ground attack that could come in handy. Ehlinger is a definite Heisman candidate and on the verge of big-time stardom.

When Collin Johnson decided to come back to Texas for his senior season it helped the offense immensely. Ehlinger would be starting from scratch had he left, but he brings a formidable target (6-6, 220) and a huge catch radius. Johnson caught 68 passes last season and scored seven TDs. Devin Duvernay doesn’t make headlines, but he caught 41 passes a year ago without a drop, second best tally in all of FBS. Redshirt freshman Malcolm Epps, Brennan Eagles and Joshua Moore fill out the unit.

The ground game is in the able hands (and legs) of Keontay Ingram, who ran for over 700 yards as a true frosh last year and should get the lion’s share of the carries. Ingram is more shifty than elusive and runs with power and aggression. Freshman Jordan Whittington was impressive this spring and will see playing time.

The offensive line is the best in the conference, and was given a boost by the arrival of Georgia Tech All-America guard Parker Braun, an outstanding blocker in the run game but a work in progress in pass pro. Sam Cosmi was excellent as freshman at left tackle, registering the third most snaps of any returning player in the country. Cosmi had five games where he didn’t allow a single QB pressure, good stuff for a rookie. Zach Shackelford is veteran at center who didn’t allow a single sack and just one QB hit in 440 snaps a year ago.  The addition of Herb Hand as OL coach should pay huge dividends, having done well at Penn State and Auburn previously. If Texas can improve its run blocking (Longhorns averaged just 3.8 YPC last season) then the sky’s the limit.

DEFENSE: 3-3-5

Yes, the Longhorns D is young (123^rd in returning production, 8 new starters). Yes, it was poor against the pass last season, especially bad when you play in the pass-happy Big 12. And yes, there have been some issues with players being used properly in DC Todd Orlando’s scheme. 

All that said, there is enough talent in the problem areas to overcome those concerns. 

HC Tom Herman has been recruiting at a very high level the last couple of seasons, and talent is how you win at Texas. Not gimmicks, not schemes, talent. The Longhorns can now match Oklahoma player for player and have an edge in defense. With this being the third year of Orlando’s scheme, things should really begin to take hold. 

Most of Texas’ premier talent is in the secondary, so it makes sense to use nickel as the primary defense. You may even see a decent amount of dime to get another coverage guy on the field. Given the teams they face, that would be a way to counteract the youth of the front seven.

Caden Sterns (62 tackles, 4 PBU, 4 INT) played well beyond his freshman status at one safety spot, showing a knack for finding the football as well as an affinity for big hits. Senior Brandon Jones (70 tackles, 5.5 TFL, 2 INT) was very good at the other safety position, and BJ Foster (46 tackles, 9 TFL, 5 PBU) was impressive at nickel as freshman. Anthony Cook got more playing time as the season progressed at one corner spot, but Jalen Greene is new. Kobe Boyce and D’Shawn Jamison add depth to this unit, which is the best in the Big 12 and one of the 10 best in college football.

The linebackers are talented but green, with Jeffrey McCulloch and his six starts the most experienced. McCulloch is big (245) but can run. Touted Ayodele Adeoye (top 20 LB recruit in 2018) should get one outside spot after redshirting, and Joseph Ossai is on a collision course with stardom after flashing big in the Sugar Bowl.

Malcolm Roach was part of the D-line rotation last season, making 24 stops, and will be called upon for leadership on a unit that has the most question marks. Talented recruit Jacoby Jones may be too good to sit on the sidelines. 

It’s a gamble putting a lot of faith in such a young defense, but in college football talent is a precious commodity, one that wins more often than it loses. Texas has upgraded its talent sufficiently that the youth is no longer a huge worry.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: LB Joseph Ossai, who takes over for Malcolm Roach as the Horns B-backer (Roach moves to rush end), led the team in tackles in the Sugar Bowl and plays with a nasty attitude. He has to hope that the largely inexperienced front can engage blockers well enough to allow him to run free, but he has the talent to be a star.

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: OG Parker Braun (Ga Tech transfer), DE Jacoby Jones (JUCO), LB DeGabriel Floyd, RB Jordan Whittington

TOUGHEST GAMES: LSU (S 7), vs Oklahoma (O 12), at TCU (O 26), at Iowa State (N 16)

FUN NUMBERS: The Longhorns allowed far too many big plays on defense, with opponents gaining 10-plus yards on 196 plays, 101^st in FBS. Surprisingly, 128 of those gains came in Texas victories.

OVERVIEW: There is definitely some momentum coming from Austin – it started with the bowl win over Georgia and continued through a very good recruiting class for 2019. Yeah, the Longhorns are young, and there are some questions about how well the defense will hold up. But Ehlinger is a real gamer, and a better passer than people give him credit for. Texas finally has the speed – if not the depth – to go toe to toe with the big boys, and with a pretty manageable schedule it’s time for a Texas breakthrough. Yes, the Longhorns will make their first appearance in the College Football Playoff, which should put an end to the question about whether or not they are “back.”

4 UTAH UTES

OFFENSE: MULTIPLE

Utah returns a good portion of its offense from 2018, but the biggest return could be from a guy who hasn’t been around the program since 2014. Andy Ludwig is back as OC, and he called the plays for the 2008 team that went unbeaten and was one of the most prolific offenses in school history. He and Kyle Whittingham seem to be on the same page stylistically, going from the quicker tempo of Troy Taylor’s system to a more deliberate, complex scheme. That could be an issue for returning QB Tyler Huntley as he has to learn new terminology, but the Utes have a veteran group and that concern is minimal.

Huntley showed how valuable he was to the offense last year, as Utah averaged nearly a TD more in the games he played. Huntley missed five contests due to injury but completed 64.1 percent of his passes and threw for 12 scores while running for four more. Huntley is more of game-manager than elite talent, but he can occasionally take over games with his dual-threat skill set. 

Zach Moss is one of the better running backs that doesn’t get talked about. He averaged over 6 YPC and scored 11 touchdowns despite missing five contests and should be asked to contribute more in the passing game this season. Moss is a workhorse who will get a few breaks, but his toughness is part of the identity of this offense.

The receiving corps is good and returns nearly everyone. Britain Covey (60 catches) was the favorite target, but late in the season others emerged, including Jaylen Dixon (32 catches), Samson Nacua (31 catches, 5 TD) and Demari Simpkins (26 catches). If Utah can spread the wealth rather than relying solely on Covey in clutch situations, this will be a tough offense to deal with.

The offensive line has been rebuilt, with LT Darrin Paulo and C Orlando Umana as holdovers. RT Nick Ford played in 11 games last season and the coaching staff is high on a pair of redshirt freshmen at the other two spots.

There is little that’s more valuable than experience, and Utah returns 90 percent of its offensive production from last year, the third best figure in FBS.

DEFENSE: 4-2-5

The Utes have thrived defensively under DC Morgan Scalley, giving up fewer than 24 points in each of his first three seasons guiding the D. Last year’s unit was especially stingy, allowing just 19.8 ppg and tallying 37 sacks. Utah plays aggressive yet doesn’t give up big plays, which is why they are so difficult to to against. Utah was especially good against the run, ranking in the to 10 in rushing yards (5^th), YPC (5^th), Negative Play Percentage (10^th) and explosive rushes allowed (9^th).

The defensive line could be the best in the country, led by beast Bradlee Anae (51 tackles, 15.5 TFL, 8 sacks). The senior end passed up the NFL for a chance to return to school to chase the brass ring. Anae has a high motor and freakish strength and was a first team all-league choice last year. Maxs Tupai mans the other end spot, while John Penisini and Leki Fotu take up space inside. The 6-5, 327-pound Fotu especially has NFL star written all over him and is almost always the victim of double team blocks. Mika Tafua and freshman Semisi Lauaki, who was in for spring, will also have opportunities.

The secondary is another unit that’s among the best in the country, headed by cornerback Jaylon Johnson (41 tackles, 4 PBU, 4 INT) and safety Julian Blackmon (48 tackles, 10 PBU), who are both all-league worthy. Nickel Javelin Guidry is active and can play the ball as well as create havoc in the backfield. 

If there is a weak spot for the unit, it’s linebacker. Francis Bernard is steady, but the Utes were counting on Penn State transfer Manny Bowen to bring experience and physical play to the group. But he recently quit football, saying the passion is no longer there. That leaves a tremendous hole in the LB corps, one that could be filled by sophomores Devin Lloyd or Sione Lund, who started his career at Stanford, and redshirt frosh Andrew Mata’afa.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: WR Jaylen Dixon has the speed and explosiveness to make the Utes passing game pretty dangerous. Veteran Britain Covey is great running the underneath stuff, but Dixon is the one who will be able to take the top off of opposing defenses. With OC Andy Ludwig back in the fold look for Utah to be much more of a modern offense. Dixon will be a big part of that.

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: OG Paul Maile (RS), OG Braeden Daniels (RS), DE Semisi Lauaki

TOUGHEST GAMES: at BYU (A 29), Washington State (S 28), California (O 26), at Washington (N 2)

FUN NUMBERS: 28, the percentage of non-sack rushing carries that were stuffed at or behind the line by the Utes aggressive defense. That total was best the league and second in all of FBS

OVERVIEW: After missing out on the CFP for two straight seasons, the Pac-12 finally has a team equipped to make a run. The Utes won’t wow anyone with big plays – though they will be more plentiful this season – but they are a model of efficiency. In Huntley and Moss, Utah has two players who can move the chains and bleed the clock. And the defense? Well, let’s just say it’s easily the best in the conference, and there are a number of NFL talents on the roster, notably in the secondary and up front. If the Utes can get past Washington, then it’s smooth sailing to the league title game – and beyond.

5 GEORGIA BULLDOGS

OFFENSE: PRO STYLE

I don’t quite get the hate thrown at Jake Fromm by Georgia fans. Is he dynamic? No. Is he an elite athlete? Uh-uh. But you know what? He leads, he wins, and he can make more than enough throws. Fromm was 41-69 with 13 TDs and just one INT on throws of 10-20 yards, according to Pro Football Focus, and is sneaky good at keeping plays alive. Overall, Fromm tossed 30 TDs to just six picks, and completed over 67 percent of his passes. 

The offensive line could be America’s best, led by LT Andrew Thomas, who allowed just 11 pressures in 314 snaps and who should be a high NFL draft pick next year. Isaiah Wilson held up well as a freshman opposite Thomas, while Solomon Kindley, Jamaree Salyer and Ben Cleveland all have vital experience at guard. Trey Hill slides over to center, and Cade Mays is a versatile utility part who can play tackle or guard. Georgia excelled last year, ranking seventh nationally in YPC and had a 6% sack rate. 

D’Andre Swift eclipsed 1000 yards and scored 10 TDs a year ago and is considered one of the best backs in college football. Swift has electric feet that allow him to be elusive in the hole and a burst that gets him to top speed in a hurry. Brian Herrien (5.9 YPC), James Cook (6.9 YPC), redshirt Zamir White and recruit Kenny McIntosh could all see time relieving Swift. 

If there is one area of concern, it’s receiver. Jeremiah Holloman was dismissed from the team, leaving precious little experience in the group. No other returnee had more than 10 grabs last year, so someone will need to step up. It could be Cal transfer Demetris Robertson, who averaged nearly 15 yards per grab in two years with the Bears. Miami transfer Lawrence Cager could also be a presence, but there is a lot of uneasiness with this group. It may be up to freshmen George Pickens and Dominick Blaylock to provide a spark.

DEFENSE: 4-3

The Dawgs defense, nearly elite in 2017, wasn’t nearly as disruptive last year. There was a reduction in sacks (from 34 to 24), a rise in YPP (from 4.7 to 4.9) and a rise in completion percentage (from 55 to 61). A lot of this was because DC Mel Tucker chose to play conservative, allowing teams to catch the football and having his guys make the tackle. That could change with the elevation of Dan Lanning to DC, though you have to believe Kirby Smart will have his hands in the defense, too.

The defensive line is experienced but not nearly as productive as it should be, as the three returnees combined for just four sacks and four TFLs. Those numbers must improve if the Dawgs are to be considered national title contenders, especially since the offense is so methodical. Jordan Davis could be ready for a breakout at one defensive spot, while Julian Rochester and Tyler Clark bring the most experience up front. Brenton Cox flashed big time skills as a part of the rotation in his freshman season. Veteran Malik Herring and JUCO Devonte Wyatt could also be factors. 

The linebackers will be talented, but inexperienced. Monty Rice and Tae Crowder have 11 starts between them, but both fit the mold of Georgia linebackers in that they can run and hit. JUCO All-America Jermaine Johnson was in for spring ball and impressed and should make an immediate impact. Top-end freshmen Nolan Smith and Nakobe Dean will be hard to keep off the field. 

The secondary lost its best player in corner Deandre Baker, but Eric Stokes showed great promise as a freshman, with 9 PBU in limited action. Tyson Campbell is physical and a willing tackler on the other side, while safeties JR Reed and Richard Lecounte are the leading returning tacklers. Reed has star power and seems to come up big in pressure situations.

This will be your typical Georgia D, rife with talent and quickness. The question is whether or not it can affect teams more at the point of attack this season.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: DE Jordan Davis, who had flashes during the season but really came on late. Davis has speed and quickness off the edge, but also has the strength to go inside and overpower. With veterans Julian Rochester and Tyler Clark taking care of the inside, Davis should be able to wreak havoc on opposing backfields.

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: LB Nolan Smith, LB Nakobe Dean, DE Jermaine Johnson (JUCO), CB DJ Daniel (JUCO), WR Lawrence Cager (Miami transfer)

TOUGHEST GAMES: Notre Dame (S 21), vs Florida (N 2), at Auburn (N 16), Texas A7M (N 23)

FUN NUMBERS: Georgia averaged 2.6 rushes per game of 20-plus yards, which was tops in the SEC and sixth nationally.

OVERVIEW: It’s intriguing to think of the possibilities with the Georgia offense, especially now that James Coley is calling the plays. He isn’t afraid to open the playbook, which could mean more passing and less “game managing” from Fromm. And that could be a good thing because, contrary to the belief of many in Dawg Nation, the kid has an arm. The ground game will still be lethal, of course, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see the offense tick up from last year’s 37.9 ppg. The D is young in the front seven but has SO many athletes that it becomes less of a concern. Georgia has had Alabama on the ropes twice in two years now and couldn’t finish the deal. Is this the year that happens? We say maybe, but it also wouldn’t be a complete shock if the Dawgs enter the SEC title game with a loss as the schedule late is brutal. National championship contender, for sure.

6 OHIO STATE BUCKEYES

OFFENSE: SPREAD

For the first time in eight seasons, Ohio State will not be guided by Urban Meyer. The controversial coach stepped away from the game following last year’s 13-1 season, replaced by OC Ryan Day, who helped Dwayne Haskins break every conceivable single season passing record at the school and get selected in the first round of the NFL Draft. Day went 3-0 as interim head coach last season and looked like a good fit, so there is minimal worry that the job is too big for him.

More of a worry is an offensive line that needs to replace four players. The group wasn’t great last year, finishing 76^th in YPC and 78^th in YPC on first down. OSU played behind the chains a lot, but Haskins was able to bail them out. The line must improve with inexperience at the quarterback position. Rutgers transfer Jonah Jackson will be a huge help at one guard spot, and sophomore Wyatt Davis looks like a star in the making on the other side. Tackle on both sides is a question as Thayer Munford missed the spring and Nicholas Petit-Frere has not distanced himself from Brandon Bowen. 

Justin Fields takes over at quarterback after transferring from Georgia. The top QB recruit in the nation in 2018, Fields was used sparingly by the Bulldogs and felt a change of scenery would be best. Fields is a great athlete who had some ups and downs in the spring, but he has a big-time arm. Day’s playbook is immense, and the learning aspect will be the toughest obstacle for Fields. There is confidence from the staff that he can handle the physical part of things, especially since there will be a return to more RPOs. Fields will be working with former Oklahoma State OC Mike Yurcich, who is the Buckeyes QBs coach/passing game coordinator and who consistently turned out good numbers in Stillwater.

JK Dobbins had his second straight 1000-yard season but considered it a disappointment, as he averaged just 4.6 YPC, nearly three yards less than his breakout freshman campaign. In a timeshare with Mike Weber, Dobbins was more powerful but less explosive. He’s dropped 10 pounds in an effort to regain his burst and could be in line for a big season. DeMario McCall will get some work as H-back, and freshman Steele Chambers could also e in the mix as more of a power component.

OSU lost its top three receivers to the NFL but fear not because the Buckeyes have a deep stable of talent. Fun fact that will win a bar bet – the Buckeyes have had more receivers drafted than any other team over the past 20 years. KJ Hill (70 catches, 6 TD) is a reliable veteran who catches everything thrown his way and will likely leave Columbus with most career receiving records. Austin Mack (26 catches) was injured last season but flashed his potential as a freshman and Binjimen Victor (21 catches, 16.9 YPC, 4 TD) has great run after the catch ability, as he exhibited in the Buckeyes comeback win over Penn State. Jaelen Gill impressed in the spring after redshirting and will see action, as will top recruit Garrett Wilson, who was already flashing big-time skills in spring ball. He is good enough to be part of the regular rotation and contend for league freshman of the year honors.

DEFENSE: 4-3

Normally reliable, Ohio State’s defense bottomed out last season. The Buckeyes had finished top six in YPP for three straight seasons beginning in 2015, but last year were 72^nd. There were poor alignments, lack of communication and understanding and a scheme that didn’t fit the personnel. You expect more from a Greg Schiano defense, but it was poor all around.

To alleviate the issues, Day made some coaching staff changes. He brought in Greg Mattison and Al Washington from Michigan and Jeff Hafley from the San Francisco 49ers, and the energy in the spring was palpable.

One person Day kept was defensive line coach Larry Johnson, who just may be the best in the business. The Buckeyes have been churning out linemen regularly for years now, all under the watchful eye of Johnson. He has another great one this year in Chase Young, who led all edge defenders in QB pressures (75) and won on 19.6 percent of his pass rush snaps, according to Pro Football Focus. He had 11 sacks, 14 hits and 50 hurries, a rare pass rush triple double. The kid is a surefire early pick in next year’s NFL Draft but has one more season to wreak havoc. Jonathan Cooper gets lost among the big names but had 6.5 TFL last season and could go out with a bang. Robert Landers had an impressive spring and should be a force inside. Freshman Zach Harrison and sophomores Tyreke Smith and Tyler Friday could also contribute. 

Despite numbers that say otherwise, the Buckeyes have one of the better secondaries in America, at least in terms of talent. OSU was 86^th in passing yardage, but an aggressive attack accounted for a 55.6 opponent completion percentage (29^th) and negative play percentage of 10% (26^th). Jeffrey Okudah is ready to blossom at one corner spot after showcasing himself late in the season. Okudah (34 tackles, 8 PBU) has excellent instincts and can play physical man coverage. Damon Arnette and Shaun Wade could rotate on the other side. Jordan Fuller (81 tackles, 4 PBU) has all-league ability at safety and Brendon White (46 tackles, 4 TFL, 2 PBU) will man the new Bullet position, which is a hybrid safety/linebacker that puts him in the box and allows him to run free to make plays. 

Linebacker was a sore spot last season, but Malik Harrison (81 tackles, 8.5 TFL, 3 QBH) was a standout. Flashing NFL speed and talent, Harrison is the one holdover whose job is safe. Baron Browning may finally be ready to realize his potential after two largely nondescript seasons, and sophomore Teradja Mitchell had an excellent spring and appears ready to handle a regular workload. Tuf Borland and Pete Werner will likely open the season as starters but could have trouble hanging on to their jobs due to the athleticism of the younger players. 

How much the defense improves will directly impact Ohio State’s fortunes. The Buckeyes won’t be able to simply outscore foes like they did last year, so they need the stop side to step up.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: LB Teradja Mitchell has had star potential since the moment he arrived on campus, and now that he has done his stint on special teams, he’s ready to shake up the LB corps. Instinctive and fast, Mitchell is a heat-seeking missile who can find the ballcarrier.

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: QB Justin Fields (Georgia transfer), WR Garrett Wilson, DE Zach Harrison, OG Jonah Jackson (Rutgers transfer), RB Steele Chambers

TOUGHEST GAMES: at Nebraska (S 28), Michigan State (O 5), Penn State (N 23), at Michigan (N 30)

FUN NUMBERS: 3.0, the average of gains per game of 30-plus yards on offense, 13^th best nationally. The 6.6 YPP averaged by OSU was 11^th best in the land.

OVERVIEW: There is a lot of intrigue and mystery surrounding the Buckeyes in 2019 – a legendary coach steps down, a new one with an innovative offensive mind takes over. How will Ryan Day handle things now that the gig is his full-time? We think just fine, as he pays incredible attention to detail and did well in his three-game “audition” last season. The defense will be allowed to play instead of think, which will make it better because there are athletes galore on that side of the ball. The offense will look more like an Urban Meyer attack, with Fields providing a lethal running threat and an arm that can make nearly every throw. It’s figuring out the defenses that will determine how successful Fields and the Buckeyes will be. We think very, as in Big Ten champs and playoff contender.

7 OKLAHOMA SOONERS

OFFENSE: MULTIPLE NO HUDDLE

It’s difficult and probably a bit crazy to doubt Lincoln Riley. After all, he’s two for two in CFP appearances and has also presided over the top offense in college football as well as the last two Heisman Trophy winners. So predicting a step back that results in the Sooners not only missing the CFP, but finishing second in the Big 12, could be downright crazy.

But it’s what I am doing.

The reasoning is twofold – an all-world offensive line that lost four players to the NFL and a transfer quarterback who has never been known for his passing acumen.

The bigger concern first – offensive line. Oklahoma develops linemen as well as anyone in America, so by the end of the season there shouldn’t be much of an issue with this group. However, chemistry is only gained by playing together and taking live bullets, and none of these guys have done that. Even a slight regression in offensive production could spell the difference between the CFP and being a spectator. It should be noted that the one holdover, center Creed Humphrey, has already asserted himself as one of the top pivotmen in college football. He’s smart and nasty and will have to lead, despite being just a sophomore. 

Following Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray is no easy feat, and that’s what Jalen Hurts has to do after arriving from Alabama with a 26-2 record. There is no doubt Hurts is a winner, and a player that’s easy to root for. That doesn’t change the fact that he’s a career 61 percent passer, and at this point in a career, players don’t make massive improvements. They are what they are. Hurts is a great leader and a dangerous runner, and while he improved his passing last year at Alabama it’s a lot to ask him to do the same in a offense that plays fast, relies on quick reads and decision-making and precise throws that allow playmakers to do their thing. I expect Riley to tweak the offense, taking advantage of shorter timing routes rather than a bunch of downfield throws, as that better suits Hurts skill set. If the offense doesn’t adapt, there could be problems.

If Hurts is up to the challenge, he has a ton of playmakers to work with. CeeDee Lamb (65 catches, 17.8 YPC, 11 TD) is one of the most dangerous wideouts in America, able to take a short pass to the end zone. There isn’t a ton of experience at the other receiver spots, which means TE Grant Calcaterra (26 catches, 15.2 YPC, 6 TD) could become a favorite target. Freshman Theo Wease and Jadon Haselwood will both make an instant impact.

The running back stable is deep, though there could be issues with Kennedy Brooks, who rambled for 12 TDs and averaged 8.9 YPC. Blessed with great burst and explosiveness, Brooks is one of the top backs in the land. He missed much of the spring and summer and was recently brought back to the team after a Title IX investigation into alleged domestic violence. He was cleared by the school, but his alleged victim spoke out and said Oklahoma was protecting him. At this time, it appears that Brooks is good to go, but if he isn’t then Trey Sermon (13 TD, 5.8 YPC) would take the bulk of the carries. Sophomore TJ Pledger could also be in line for work.

It will be intriguing to see what kind of balancing act Riley does with the Sooners offense this season.

DEFENSE: 4-2-5

As good as Oklahoma’s offense has been under Riley, the defense has been that bad.

The Sooners ranked 100^th or worse in scoring defense, total defense, passing defense, passing yards per attempt …. You get the picture. It was not a pretty performance, and the one thing that kept Oklahoma from doing anything in the postseason. Even an average defense might have given Oklahoma a CFP victory.

Enter Alex Grinch, who transformed Washington State into one of the more aggressive, feared defenses in the Pac-12. He will install his system, which gambles a ton but also leaves the possibility of the big play, with an experienced unit that returns 81 percent of its production. 

There should be opportunities for the Sooners to be better at bothering the quarterback. Oklahoma has been below 30 sacks in each of the last three seasons, but DE Ronnie Perkins showed some chops as a freshman with five sacks and eight TFL. Neville Gallimore is a tad undersized inside but is difficult to move and could be an anchor against the run. 

Junior LB Kenneth Murray has been around the football since the day he arrived on campus, leading the team with 155 stops last year. A read and react type, Murray may be asked to be more aggressive this season. The secondary has athletes but did not perform well, and in the pass-happy Big 12 that is not a good thing. Tre Norwood and Tre Brown will get first shot at the corners, but touted nickel back Brendan Radley-Hiles had far too many coverage mistakes and may be fighting for his starting job. 

With a potentially slower offense, the Sooners D may see a reduction in some of its numbers simply because it will face fewer snaps. It’s how much improvement there is that will determine whether the Sooners stay atop the conference.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: DE Ronnie Perkins flashed huge potential during his freshman campaign, but also had enough youthful mistakes that his impact wasn’t completely felt. That changes this year as the ultra-fast Perkins will prove to be a nightmare for opposing OTs to handle. Double-digit sack numbers are not out of the question.

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: QB Jalen Hurts (Alabama transfer), OG RJ Prcotor (Virginia transfer), DT LaRon Stokes (JUCO), WR Theo Wease, WR Jadon Haselwood

TOUGHEST GAMES: Houston (A 31), at UCLA (S 14), vs Texas (O 12), Iowa State (N 9), TCU (N 23), at Oklahoma State (N 30)

FUN NUMBERS: 1036, the number of plays the Oklahoma defense faced in 2018. The Sooners D was a sieve, and it could not get off the field. Part of it was because the offense scored quickly, but part was because the unit was just bad.

OVERVIEW: Two years under Lincoln Riley, two berths in the CFP. The next step is winning a game. Whether or not that happens this year remains to be seen, but the schedule isn’t exactly a cakewalk. Veteran Jalen Hurts comes in to run the show, and we’ll see how much of the playbook Riley leaves open as Hurts is not the passer Kyler Murray or Baker Mayfield was. He is a winner, though, and that counts for something. There is nowhere but up for the defense to go, and new DC Alex Grinch has proven credentials. A rebuilt O-line is cause for concern, even if the Sooners typically are among the best groups in the country, and unproven talent at receiver could also be an issue. How will they respond in big moments? The Sooners should once again be in the B12 title game. Whether or not they are in the CFP? That’s another story.

8 LSU TIGERS

OFFENSE: MULTIPLE

Last year was a nice first step in the evolution of LSU’s offense, as the Tigers had more varied formations, some decent in-game adjustments and found a real leader in Ohio State transfer Joe Burrow, who accounted for 23 touchdowns in his first season as a starter. 

One thing there wasn’t enough of was downfield throwing. Burrow has a nice arm, but LSU didn’t want to gamble and press defenses deep – odd since the receiving corps has the potential to be very good. LSU routinely turns out receivers to the NFL, yet never has what anyone would consider a feared passing attack. Maybe it changes this season with the addition of New Orleans Saints assistant Joe Brady as passing game coordinator. 

If Brady’s concepts click, LSU could indeed be dangerous on offense. Justin Jefferson (54 catches, 6 TD, 16.2 YPC) is already proving to be a top talent and has excellent speed and route-running skill. Ja’marr Chase flashed as a freshman, and Terrace Marshall may be ready to show why he was last year’s top recruit at receiver. Texas Tech transfer Jonathan Giles and freshman Devonta Lee add to the mix.

The offensive line suffered through injury and inconsistency, which contributed to LSU averaging just 4.2 YPC on first down (93^rd nationally). C Lloyd Cushenberry is an All-America candidate, and tackle Saadiq Charles and guard Damien Lewis bring experience.

LSU typically has a bruiser in the backfield, and last year it was the underappreciated Nick Brossette. He is off to the NFL, so the committee approach will be handled by holdover Clyde Edwards-Helaire (658 yards, 7 TD) and super frosh John Emery, the third ranked runner in the class. Emery has some wiggle and speed to get to the outside and should take over the starting role sooner rather than later.  

DEFENSE: 3-4

DC Dave Aranda is a master at finding what his troops do well and adapting his schemes to fit. He typically has linebackers that can run all day, defensive backs that can play the ball and pack a wallop and a defensive front that pins back its ears and bothers the quarterback repeatedly.

There are stars at each level, none bigger than safety Grant Delpit. The junior is everywhere, and registered 74 tackles, 9.5 TFL, 9 PBU, 5 INT and 4 QBH. He will take over as quarterback of the defense with the departure of LB Devin White to the NFL, so the Tigers are in good hands here. Kristian Fulton is the latest in a long line of shutdown corners from the bayou. Fulton allowed just 17 completions and only two TDs on 41 targets, along with 7 PBU. He missed three games with a foot injury but is ready to bust out. True frosh Derek Stingley Jr was in for spring and has already assumed a starting spot opposite Fulton, so teams throwing on the Tigers are tempting fate.

It will be impossible to replace a force like White, who made 123 tackles in 2018. LSU won’t do it with one player, instead focusing on a cadre of talent to get the job done. Jacob Phillips inherits White’s spot and was actually second in tackles with 87. Patrick Queen has the look of a star after netting 40 stops and 5 TFL a year ago, Michael Divinity is a high-motor senior and EDGE K’Lavon Chaisson is back and healthy after playing in only one game last season. 

If there is one chink in the armor it’s up front, where there wasn’t the typical production. Sacks went down from 39 to 34, total yards increased by nearly 25 and points went up by a field goal. Much of that can be tied to inconsistency from the front line. The talent is there to be dominant, with Rashard Lawrence (54 tackles, 10.5 TFL) and Glen Logan forming an excellent duo. True freshman Apu Ika takes over at the nose and showed occasional dominance in the spring. Tyler Shelvin and Breiden Fehoko add depth and experience. 

The Tigers return 70 percent of their defensive production from a year ago, and if it can merely tighten up against the run game it will be one of the most feared units in the country.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: RLB Patrick Queen, who just scratched the surface last year as more of a situational player. He will play the same way (and position) as Devin White, only he may be faster. He doesn’t quite have the football IQ or instincts of his predecessor, but he could certainly be in line for a huge season.

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: CB Derek Stingley, RB John Emery, NT Siaki Ika, LB Soni Fanua

TOUGHEST GAMES: at Texas (S 7), Florida (O 12), at Mississippi State (O 19), at Alabama (N 9), Texas A&M (N 30)

FUN NUMBERS: 49.7, which is the completion percentage of opposing QBs last season. LSU’s pass D was something truly special, ranking highly in YPA (T8), Passer Rating (4) and INTs (11). And teams still threw a lot, averaging 34.5 attempts per game, one of the highest figures in the country.

OVERVIEW: THIS is the year the LSU offense comes into the modern age – right? We’ve heard that before, yet there we are in October, and the Tigers are lining up in two-back and plowing up the middle for a three-yard gain. But there are assurances that they will implement RPOs into the scheme, which should suit Burrow just fine. If the wideouts become more consistent the offense should hum. The D will be its usual nasty self, even if it is young. The turnover luck LSU had last year may not be as abundant in 2019, which could signal a small step back. But this is the best team Ed Orgeron has had, maybe the first one with a legitimate shot to beat Alabama. LSU will be a very intriguing team to follow this year, as it will either be right near the top or wither under heightened expectations.

9 OREGON DUCKS

OFFENSE: PISTOL/POWER RUN SPREAD

Any talk of the Oregon offense starts with Justin Herbert, one of the more polarizing figures in college football.

Herbert can make throws to all levels, has a quick release and can throw on the move, yet folks look purely at the numbers – 59.4 completion percentage – and think the kid can’t play. The completion percentage goes WAY up if Oregon’s receivers don’t drop 52 passes in 2018, and with an experienced group returning that shouldn’t happen again. Herbert is still too inconsistent from week to week, which is probably a reason he returned for his senior season.

For all the talk of Herbert, the biggest issue last year was with the Ducks running game. It was 103^rd in explosiveness and 73^rd on first down YPC, which put them behind the chains far too often. CJ Verdell ran for over 1000 yards and scored 10 TDs and was spelled by Travis Dye, but the slower pace of the offense last year seemed to impact Oregon’s ability to hit foes with quick inside runs as they have in previous seasons. 

The offensive line is the most experienced in college football, with 153 starts between them. If they can play as a unit the offense should make huge strides. LG Shane Lemieux could be the best of the bunch, though LT Penei Sewell, who got some All-America mention as a freshman, may have something to say about that. Versatile Calvin Throckmorton settles in at right tackle after playing four positions last year.

Finding reliable receivers will go a long way toward Oregon achieving its goals, and Jaylon Redd (38 catches, 5 TD) is a good place to start as he has the potential to be lethal from the slot. Penn State transfer Juwan Johnson adds experience and size (6-5, 230), while Johnny Johnson and Brendan Schooler were in the mix last season. Freshman Mycah Pittman has the talent to get into the lineup.

DEFENSE: 3-4

The defense was supposed to be good last season but regressed from 2017, giving up more yards and netting fewer sacks while allowing a higher YPP average. The defense was less aggressive, surprising considering Jim Leavitt was DC, and the production was just not there. Now Leavitt exits, which could be an issue for a unit looking for stability. Andy Avalos comes over from Boise State, and while the Broncos were usually good on D, they weren’t elite. Maybe better personnel produces better results. 

Oregon’s secondary can hold its own against any group in America, led by corner Thomas Graham (56 tackles, 18 PBU, 3 INT). He doesn’t get a lot of publicity, but opposing receivers know he is sticky in man coverage, especially on slants and crosses. Jevon Holland and Nick Pickett form a physical duo at safety, and Deommodore Lenoir could emerge opposite Graham as he had 9 PBUs in 2018. Freshman Mykael Wright is one to watch.

Troy Dye has been a tackling machine at linebacker ever since arriving as a freshman, and he is the heart and soul of the Ducks D. The senior made 115 stops last year, including 8 TFL, 7 PBU and 4 QBH. He’s all over the field and provides excellent leadership for the defense. 

The defensive front needs to pick it up this season after failing to disrupt often enough in 2018. The rush defense was OK, but the negative play percentage of 8% was 96^th in the country. More aggression is needed, and it may come in the form of freshman Kayvon Thibodeaux, the nation’s top overall recruit. Long-armed and fast, Thibodeaux may solve the pass rushing and aggressiveness problems Oregon had last season. DT Jordon Scott has flashed talent but is far too inconsistent and needs to become more of an anchor inside.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: WR Jaylen Redd, whose 38 catches leads all returnees and who, by all accounts, had a very good spring. Quick out of his breaks and lethal with the ball in his hands, Redd should find himself on the receiving end of plenty of Herbert targets.

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: DE Kayvon Thibodeaux, WR Juwan Johnson (Penn State transfer), WR Mycah Pittman, LB Mase Funa

TOUGHEST GAMES: vs Auburn (A 31), at Stanford (S 21), at Washington (O 19), at USC (N 2)

FUN NUMBERS: 52, the number of dropped passes by Oregon receivers and backs. Catch even half of those and the offense would have been more lethal, and folks would be talking about Herbert in different terms

OVERVIEW: Heading into the spring I had Oregon in the CFP but took a look at their schedule, the loss of DC Jim Leavitt, and the fact that, well, it’s Oregon. There is always one season-changing moment that happens to the Ducks, and usually not for the better. Someone gets hurt, someone fumbles late to give away a game, someone throws a back-breaking pick. You get the idea. The offense should be better with the nation’s best and most experienced offensive line and skill position players galore, while the defense will gain some bite with Avalos running the show. Thibodeaux is a freak athlete and will impact things by himself – add in Scott and Dye and a secondary that is criminally underrated and you have the makings of an Oregon D circa 2012-14. The schedule is the one thing that gives pause, but it would not be a shock to this corner if the Ducks somehow navigate choppy waters and find themselves playing in the CFP. For now, we’ll just say best in the Pac-12.

10 FLORIDA GATORS

OFFENSE: MULTIPLE

Well, that was fast.

The improvement shown by Florida, not only in the win column (+6) but on offense (points up by 13 per game, yards up by 90 per game) was nothing short of amazing, and should be attributed mostly to the hire of Dan Mullen, who had already shown himself to be an offensive guru of sorts after making Mississippi State competitive and fun to watch. 

Mullen transformed the culture, allowed his players to play loose and free instead of uptight, and really got results out of QB Feleipe Franks, who had been a journeyman prior to 2018. The 6-6, 240-pounder completed over 58.4 percent of his passes (up by nearly 4 percent) at the same time increading his YPA (from 6.3 to 7.6).

It’s logical to assume that Franks will improve even more in year two under Mullen, especially with the embarrassment of riches he has at receiver. The Gators are as deep as anyone in America, with the ability to cycle through as many as seven guys. Van Jefferson is the most accomplished of the group, scoring 6 TDs on 35 grabs last year, and is joined by emerging Trevon Grimes, do-it-all speedster Kadarius Toney and seniors Freddie Swain, Joshua Hammond and Tyrie Cleveland. Any combination could be lined up on the field at a given time, and all present different issues for opposing defenses. Tight end Kyle Pitts (6-6) is an inviting red zone target, but he can also get down the seam and create mismatches. 

The ground game returns leading rusher Lamical Perine (826 yards, 7 TD, 6.2 YPC) and welcomes back speedster Malik Davis, who missed all but three games due to injury. Sophomore Dameon Pierce could also get into the act.

The true barometer of how well Florida plays this season will be measured up front. The Gators lost four starters and will fill the void with three juniors and a redshirt freshman. That doesn’t sound like a recipe for success in the man’s world of SEC trench warfare, but it’s the path Florida has chosen. It will be interesting to see if they can maintain top 25 rankings in YPC with such turnover.

DEFENSE: 3-4

Todd Grantham has proven to be one of the best defensive coordinators in America, and Florida’s ascent into the top 25 in six categories in 2018 was the best evidence. The Gators were 20^th in scoring defense and 13^th against the pass and return eight from last season.

Jabari Zuniga has teased his potential but now may be ready to break out. The senior had 11 TFL and 4 QBH as a first-year starter last season, has a high motor and high skill level. Louisville transfer Jon Greenard will be a boost in the experience department, and he’s also adept at playing the run. 

David Reese has been good for a couple of seasons now, and his 77 tackles is tops among Florida returnees. He sometimes gets lost in coverage but is physical in the run game. 

The secondary is loaded, with cornerback CJ Henderson (38 tackles, 5 TFL, 7 PBU, 2 INT) worthy of All-America consideration. Brad Stewart and Jeawan Taylor are veterans at safety, and Trey Dean will man the all-important STAR position, a LB/S hybrid that puts him all over the field.

If the most improvement comes between years one and two, then this Florida defense could be in for a big-time season.

BREAKOUT PERFORMER: RB Malik Davis, who likely won’t start over incumbent Lamical Perine, but he has shiftiness, can catch the ball out of the backfield and can really go once he’s through the hole. Adds a big-play component to UF’s ground attack and will have many chances in 2019.

IMPACT NEWCOMERS: TE Keon Zipperer, OG Ethan White, LB Jonathan Greenard (Louisville transfer, injured last year)

TOUGHEST GAMES: Auburn (O 5), at LSU (O 12), vs Georgia (N 2), Florida State (N 30)

FUN NUMBERS: 0.9, the sack rate on passing downs (second-and-8 or more, third-or-fourth-and-5 or more) for the Gators in 2018, the lowest in the nation. A stark contrast from 2017, when the passing downs sack rate was 9.8 percent (98^th nationally)

OVERVIEW: Gators fans had confidence in Dan Mullen to erase the misery that was the Jim McElwain “era” (short though it may have been), but even the most optimistic Florida backer couldn’t have seen a six-game jump. Mullen transformed Franks from liability to weapon, and actually made the UF passing attack dangerous. Florida signed some great skill players, but the biggest signee may have been DC Todd Grantham, who allows the unit to keep continuity. Losing him would have been a big blow. The offense should take another step forward, and the defense is always good. Is Florida ready to take the next step, from 10 wins to 11 – which would likely mean an SEC East championship? Maybe. But even if they aren’t, it’s apparent that Florida is a player on the national scene as long as Mullen is around.