OVERVIEW
Boise State's Bryan Harsin (Mountain West Connection) |
The more things change, the more they stay the same -- at least that's the case in the Mountain West in 2018.
The league is better top to bottom than it's been in quite some time, but the usual suspects are sitting at the top of the heap this year, and that probably isn't going to change any time soon. While Boise State and San Diego State are still top dogs in their divisions, the improvement of Wyoming, Utah State and Fresno State could make for some potentially tasty matchups this season.
Boise State still rules the Mountain roost, and has enough talent and experience to make a real push to be the Group of Five rep for a New Year's Six bowl game. Quarterback Brett Rypien is back for his senior season, which means the offense is in good hands. While he didn't throw a ton of touchdowns last year (16), he also was steady with the ball and didn't turn it over much (6 INTs). With Boise's best receivers gone, look for more emphasis on the ground game -- which should suit Alexander Mattison just fine. The junior ran for over 1,000 yards and found the end zone a dozen times in 2017, and should be in line for even bigger things this year. Defense should once again be the Broncos calling card. After allowing just under 23 points per game last year, the defense could be ready to take off thanks to playmakers at every level. End Curtis Weaver, linebacker Tyson Maeva and defensive backs Tyler Horton and Kekoa Nawahine are all stars and should be the leaders of a powerful stop unit. If anyone is going to rival Boise for top defensive honors, it will be Wyoming. The Cowboys are starting to look like Craig Bohl's North Dakota State teams did. It will be tough to equal last year's stellar 17.5 ppg allowed, but it could happen, especially with star linemen Curtis Granderson and Youhanna Ghaifan, linebacker and leading tackler Logan Wilson (119 tackles, 7 TFL) and safety Andrew Wingard (114 tackles, 7 TFL, 5 INT) all returning. The offense could be potent if a quarterback is found. Utah State brings back one of the most experienced teams in the nation, including all five offensive linemen. Wideout Ron'Quavion Tarver and tight end Dax Raymond are stars and should help a passing game that was stagnant at times a year ago. The defense returns nine and could rival the 2014 group which allowed less than 20 points per contest. It might be a mistake to overlook Mike Bobo's Colorado State squad, especially if Washington transfer KJ Carta-Samuels plays up to expectation at quarterback. He has great weapons in Olabisi Johnson and Preston Williams, and an emerging backfield star in Izzy Matthews. Toughness on defense is a question after CSU allowed over 5.0 yards per carry to opponents last season, though first year DC John Jancek has gotten results at every stop.
The West has some depth, but San Diego State and Fresno State are clearly the best of the lot. The Aztecs return seven on offense, notably quarterback Christian Chapman (13-4 TD-INT) and an intact offensive line, which has a pair of stars in guard Keith Ismael and tackle Tyler Roemer. Running back Juwan Washington appears to be next in the SDSU running back line after scoring seven times and averaging 6.0 ypc a year ago in relief of all-world Rashaad Penny. The defense returns seven of its top 10 tacklers from a group that held foes to 20.2 ppg. Linebackers Ronley Lakalaka and Parker Baldwin will pace the unit. Vying with the Aztecs for divisional supremacy is Fresno State, which brings back 15 starters from a team that won double digit games for the first time since 2013. Marcus McMaryion is a confident leader at quarterback and just might have the best receiving corps in the league at his disposal. KeeSean Johnson eclipsed 1,000 yards and scored eight times last year, and he's joined by Jamire Jordan and former Oklahoma pass catcher Michiah Quick. If the Bulldogs can find more explosiveness and consistency in their run game they should be a handful. The defense was a revelation last year, allowing 17.9 points a year after giving up nearly 31 per game. The loss of DC Orlondo Steinauer to the CFL could be a blow as he devised schemes that would shift at the snap and confuse opponents. Taking over DC duties is Bert Watts, and he'll have some talent to work with, notably a linebacker group led by junior Jeffrey Allison, who emerged as a tackling machine (126) a year ago. Corner Jaron Bryant can play sticky man-to-man, and his mates in the secondary are all athletic and quick. Back to back games with Boise State and San Diego State will determine the Bulldogs' fate. Nevada is right on the fringe of breaking through but will ultimately fall short due to shortcomings on defense, though linebacker Malik Reed is a keeper. The pitch and catch combo of Ty Gangi to McLane Mannix will be one of the most lethal in the league. UNLV is also improving and could break through with a potent offense led by quarterback Armani Rodgers and running back Lexington Thomas.
RISING: Nevada
FALLING: Air Force
BOWL TEAMS (6): Boise State, Wyoming, Utah State, Colorado State, San Diego State, Fresno State
MWC PROJECTED STANDINGS
MOUNTAIN
1 Boise State (12-1, 7-1)
2 Wyoming (8-4, 6-2)
3 Utah State (7-5, 5-3)
4 Colorado State (6-6, 5-3)
5 Air Force (4-8, 3-5)
6 New Mexico (2-10, 0-8)
WEST
1 San Diego State (10-3, 7-1)
2 Fresno State (8-4, 6-2)
3 Nevada (6-6, 4-4)
4 UNLV (5-7, 3-5)
5 San Jose State (2-10, 1-7)
6 Hawaii (2-11, 1-7)
MWC CHAMPIONSHIP
Boise State over San Diego State
1 San Diego State (10-3, 7-1)
2 Fresno State (8-4, 6-2)
3 Nevada (6-6, 4-4)
4 UNLV (5-7, 3-5)
5 San Jose State (2-10, 1-7)
6 Hawaii (2-11, 1-7)
MWC CHAMPIONSHIP
Boise State over San Diego State
ALL-MWC TEAM
FIRST TEAM OFFENSE
QB Brett Rypien/Boise State
QB Brett Rypien/Boise State
RB Lexington Thomas/UNLV
RB Alexander Mattison/Boise State
WR KeeSean Johnson/Fresno State
WR McLane Mannix/Nevada
WR Preston Williams/Colorado State
TE Dax Raymond/Utah State
OL Ezra Cleveland/Boise State
OL Aaron Jenkins/New Mexico
OL Keith Ismael/San Diego State
OL Quin Ficklin/Utah State
OL Micah St Andrew/Fresno State
FIRST TEAM DEFENSE
DL Carl Granderson/Wyoming
DL Carl Granderson/Wyoming
DL Curtis Weaver/Boise State
DL Youhanna Ghaifan/Wyoming
DL David Moa/Boise State
LB Malik Reed/Nevada
LB Jeffrey Allison/Fresno State
LB Logan Wilson/Wyoming
LB Jahlani Tavai/Hawaii
DB Andrew Wingard/Wyoming
DB Ron Smith/San Diego State
DB Jaron Bryant/Fresno State
DB Tariq Thompson/San Diego State
FIRST TEAM SPECIALISTS
K Dominik Eberle/Utah State
P Ryan Stonehouse/Colorado State
KR Tyler Hall/Wyoming
PR Avery Williams/Boise State
SECOND TEAM OFFENSE
QB Marcus McMaryion/Fresno State
QB Marcus McMaryion/Fresno State
RB Juwan Washington/San Diego State
RB Izzy Matthews/Colorado State
WR John Ursua/Hawaii
WR Olabisi Johnson/Colorado State
WR Ron'Quavion Tarver/Utah State
TE Kahale Warring/San Diego State
OL Tyler Roemer/San Diego State
OL Nathan Jacobson/UNLV
OL Netane Muti/Fresno State
OL John Molchon/Boise State
OL Sean Krepsz/Nevada
SECOND TEAM DEFENSE
DL Noble Hall/San Diego State
DL Noble Hall/San Diego State
DL Durrant Miles/Boise State
DL Christopher Unga/Utah State
DL Richard King/Colorado State
LB Ronley Lakalaka/San Diego State
LB Tyson Maeva/Boise State
LB George Helmuth/Fresno State
LB Josh Watson/Colorado State
DB Tyler Horton/Boise State
DB Dameon Baber/Nevada
DB Gaje Ferguson/Utah State
DB Kekoa Nawahine/Boise State
SECOND TEAM SPECIALISTS:
K Bryce Crawford/San Jose State
K Bryce Crawford/San Jose State
P Aaron Dalton/Utah State
KR Elijah Lilly/New Mexico
PR Austin Conway/Wyoming
OFFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR: Brett Rypien/Boise State
DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR: Jeffrey Allison/Fresno State
COACH OF THE YEAR: Matt Wells/Utah State
NEWCOMER OF THE YEAR: QB KJ Carta-Samuels/Colorado State
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